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11 August 2020: Database Analysis

Early Death Incidence and Prediction in Stage IV Breast Cancer

Yumei Zhao 1BE , Guijun Xu 2B , Xinpeng Guo 1F , Wenjuan Ma 1CG , Yao Xu 2C , Karl Peltzer 3F , Vladimir P. Chekhonin 4E , Vladimir P. Baklaushev 5D , Nan Hu 6DG , Xin Wang 7DG , Zheng Liu 28A* , Chao Zhang 2AG*

DOI: 10.12659/MSM.924858

Med Sci Monit 2020; 26:e924858

Table 2 Univariate logistic regression for analyzing the risk factors for early death in patients with IV breast cancer.

Subject characteristicsTotal early deathCancer specific early deathNon-cancer specific early death
OR (95% CI)P valueOR (95% CI)P valueOR (95% CI)P value
Age
Ref1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 50–591.57 (1.40–1.74)1.47 (1.31–1.66)1.63 (1.31–2.03)
 60–691.99 (1.80–2.22)1.73 (1.54–1.94)2.30 (1.87–2.83)
 70–792.92 (2.62–3.26)2.26 (2.00–2.54)3.49 (2.83–4.30)
 ≥805.11 (4.55–5.74)3.18 (2.81–3.60)5.83 (4.74–7.17)
Marital status
 MarriedRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Unmarried1.80 (1.69–1.92)1.67 (1.55–1.79)1.60 (1.43–1.78)
Race
 WhiteRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Black1.36 (1.26–1.48)1.29 (1.18–1.41)1.29 (1.13–1.47)
 Others0.80 (0.71–0.91)0.0010.83 (0.72–0.95)0.0070.83 (0.67–1.03)0.089
Insurance
 InsuredRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Uninsured1.50 (1.29–1.74)1.81 (1.55–2.11)0.65 (0.47–0.88)0.006
Subtypes
 Luminal ARef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Luminal B0.88 (0.79–0.98)0.0170.99 (0.88–1.11)0.8640.67 (0.55–0.82)
 HER2 enriched1.51 (1.33–1.71)1.57 (1.37–1.80)1.14 (0.92–1.42)0.234
 Triple negative4.06 (3.68–4.48)3.49 (3.15–3.87)2.26 (1.95–2.62)
Grade
 Grade IRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Grade II1.50 (1.28–1.76)1.59 (1.32–1.92)1.18 (0.91–1.53)0.214
 Grade III2.43 (2.08–2.84)2.67 (2.22–3.21)1.40 (1.08–1.80)0.010
 Grade IV3.71 (2.44–5.65)4.34 (2.79–6.75)1.34 (0.63–2.86)0.454
Tumor site
 UOQRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 LOQ0.85 (0.72–1.00)0.0510.84 (0.70–1.02)0.0720.92 (0.70–1.22)0.564
 LIQ0.87 (0.72–1.06)0.1730.81 (0.64–1.01)0.0581.09 (0.80–1.49)0.577
 UIQ0.92 (0.79–1.07)0.2720.91 (0.77–1.08)0.2710.98 (0.76–1.26)0.852
 CEN0.97 (0.84–1.13)0.7120.99 (0.83–1.17)0.8700.95 (0.73–1.23)0.705
 Others1.06 (0.96–1.17)0.2871.04 (0.93–1.16)0.4771.06 (0.90–1.26)0.472
Laterality
 Left-sidedRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Right-sided0.98 (0.92–1.05)0.5340.97 (0.91–1.04)0.4191.01 (0.91–1.13)0.848
 One side, NOS1.45 (0.94–2.24)0.0901.63 (1.04–2.56)0.0330.83 (0.36–1.90)0.655
 Paired sides1.73 (1.51–1.98)1.50 (1.30–1.73)1.67 (1.36–2.04)
Tumor size
 0–2 cmRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 2–5 cm1.09 (0.98–1.21)0.1001.29 (1.15–1.45)0.77 (0.66–0.90)0.001
 >5 cm1.33 (1.20–1.48)1.80 (1.59–2.03)0.60 (0.51–0.71)
N stage
 N0Ref1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 N10.73 (0.67–0.79)0.92 (0.83–1.01)0.0650.51 (0.44–0.59)
 N20.63 (0.55–0.72)0.76 (0.66–0.89)0.52 (0.41–0.65)
 N31.00 (0.92–1.09)0.9761.21 (1.10–1.33)0.67 (0.58–0.77)
Bone Met
 NoRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Yes0.72 (0.67–0.77)0.81 (0.76–0.87)0.65 (0.59–0.73)
Brain Met
 NoRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Yes3.00 (2.69–3.35)2.65 (2.37–2.96)1.77 (1.51–2.08)
Liver Met
 NoRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Yes2.06 (1.93–2.21)2.15 (2.00–2.32)1.21 (1.08–1.36)0.001
Lung Met
 NoRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 Yes1.75 (1.64–1.87)1.80 (1.68–1.93)1.20 (1.08–1.33)0.001
Surgery
 No surgeryRef1.0Ref1.0Ref1.0
 PM0.41 (0.36–0.47)0.38 (0.33–0.45)0.69 (0.56–0.85)
 TM0.33 (0.28–0.38)0.31 (0.26–0.38)0.57 (0.44–0.73)
 RM0.29 (0.26–0.33)0.32 (0.28–0.37)0.38 (0.31–0.48)
 Others0.38 (0.18–0.79)0.0090.30 (0.12–0.76)0.0110.85 (0.31–2.37)0.756
SEER – Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result; OR – odds ratio; CI – confidence interval; Ref – reference; NA – not applicable; UOQ – upper outer quadrant; LOQ – lower outer quadrant; LIQ – lower inner quadrant; UIQ – upper inner quadrant; CEN – central portion; NOS – not otherwise specified; PM – partial mastectomy; TM – total mastectomy; RM – radical mastectomy.

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Medical Science Monitor eISSN: 1643-3750
Medical Science Monitor eISSN: 1643-3750