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16 November 2022 : Clinical Research  

A Prospective Observational Study Conducted at a Single Center in Japan to Validate a Previously Developed Predictive Formula of In-Hospital Mortality for Patients Aged ≥65 Years with Endogenous Diseases Transported by Ambulance

Motoshi Fujiwara1ABDEF, Masaki Tago ORCID logo1ABDEFG*, Risa Hirata ORCID logo1BCDEF, Shun Yamashita ORCID logo1BCDF, Naoko E. Katsuki1CDF, Noriko Ide12ABD, Tomoyo M. Nishi12ABD, Yoshimasa Oda2ABD, Masanori Nishiyama2AD, Shu-ichi Yamashita1ADEG

DOI: 10.12659/MSM.938385

Med Sci Monit 2022; 28:e938385

Table 1 Patient backgrounds.

All patients (n=325)Group D (In-hospital death) (n=42)Group S (Surviving) (n=283)p value
Age* 84 (78–91)89 (84–94)84 (77–91)0.001
Aged ≥90 years107 (33)20 (48)87 (31)0.030
Men139 (43)20 (48)119 (42)0.496
Duration of hospitalization* 12 (6–21)8 (4–20)13 (6–22)0.053
Infusion volume at 24 hours (mL) * 1775 (1200–2500)1800 (1200–2650)1760 (1200–2450)0.862
Vasopressors23 (7)7 (17)16 (6)0.009
Treated by the primary care physician56 (17)7 (17)49 (17)0.917
Prehospital treatment4 (1)1 (2)3 (1)0.469
Peripheral access before hospital visit39 (12)7 (17)32 (11)0.319
Number of prescribed drugs,* 6 (3–9)8 (5–10)6 (3–8)0.031
Antihypertensive medications*** 199/288 (69)24/36 (67)175/252 (69)0.736
Vital signs
 GCS-E* 4 (4–4)4 (3–4)4 (4–4)0.003
 GCS-V* 5 (4–5)4 (2–5)5 (4–5)<0.001
 GCS-M* 6 (6–6)6 (5–6)6 (6–6)0.001
 GCS-Total* 15 (14–15)14 (11–15)15 (14–15)<0.001
 Disturbance of consciousness106/323 (33)24/42 (57)82/281 (11)<0.001
 Body temperature* 37 (36–38)37 (36–38)37 (36–38)0.379
 Pulse rate (beats/min)* 86 (72–102)91 (77–112)86 (72–101)0.115
 Systolic BP* 142 (117–163)133 (108–170)142 (120–163)0.575
 Diastolic BP* 79 (68–93)79 (66–102)79 (68–92)0.502
 Respiration rate (breaths/min)* 20 (17–22)22 (18–24)19 (16–22)0.068
 SpO* 97 (95–99)96 (93–98)97 (95–99)0.004
Shock index ≥1**** 40/322 (12)8/41 (20)32/281 (11)0.141
Shock index,* 0.6 (0.5–0.8)0.7 (0.5–0.9)0.6 (0.5–0.8)0.109
Age × Shock index,* 52 (41–66)64 (45–81)51 (40–63)0.029
q-SOFA* 1 (0–1)1 (1–2)1 (0–1)<0.001
 q-SOFA ≥252 (16)16 (38)36 (13)<0.001
Oxygen administration* 0 (0–3)3 (0–6)0 (0–3)0.010
 Oxygen administration ≥5 L/min66 (20)17 (40)49 (17)<0.001
Barthel Index* 55 (15–90)15 (0–36)60 (20–95)<0.001
ABC Dementia Scale* 97 (66–117)69 (53–104)101 (68–117)<0.001
Bedriddenness rank<0.001
 Normal62 (19)062 (22)
 J: J1 + J222 (7)022 (8)
 A: A1 + A251 (16)5 (12)46 (16)
 B: B1 + B259 (18)2 (5)57 (20)
 C: C1 + C2131 (40)35 (83)96 (34)
Cognitive function score0.005
 Normal113 (35)5 (12)108 (38)
 I46 (14)6 (14)40 (14)
 II: IIa + IIb70 (22)11 (26)59 (21)
 III: IIIa + IIIb79 (24)15 (36)64 (23)
 IV17 (5)5 (12)12 (4)
* These values are median (interquartile range). The other values are n (%);
** n=288;
*** antihypertensive medications as those taking one or more of the following: α-blockers, β-blockers, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin II receptor blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, diuretics, nitrates, and eplerenone;
**** shock index was calculated as heart rate divided by systolic blood pressure.
GCS – Glasgow coma scale; BP – blood pressure; SpO – oxygen saturation; q-SOFA – quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.

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Medical Science Monitor eISSN: 1643-3750
Medical Science Monitor eISSN: 1643-3750