Development and Validation of Predictive Models for Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery in China

Shilei Bi; Lizi Zhang; Jingsi Chen; Lijun Huang; Shanshan Zeng; Jinping Jia; Suiwen Wen; Yinli Cao; Shaoshuai Wang; Xiaoyan Xu; Feng Ling; Xianlan Zhao; Yangyu Zhao; Qiying Zhu; Hongbo Qi; Lanzhen Zhang; Hongtian Li; Lili Du; Zhijian Wang; Dunjin Chen

doi:10.12659/MSM.927681

03 December 2020 : Clinical Research

Development and Validation of Predictive Models for Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery in China

Shilei Bi^1ACDEF, Lizi Zhang^2ACDEF, Jingsi Chen^134AC, Lijun Huang^1BF, Shanshan Zeng^1BF, Jinping Jia^5B, Suiwen Wen^6B, Yinli Cao^7B, Shaoshuai Wang^8B, Xiaoyan Xu^8B, Feng Ling^8B, Xianlan Zhao^9B, Yangyu Zhao^10B, Qiying Zhu^11B, Hongbo Qi^12B, Lanzhen Zhang^13B, Hongtian Li^14CD, Lili Du^134ACEG*, Zhijian Wang^2AG, Dunjin Chen^134AG

DOI: 10.12659/MSM.927681

Med Sci Monit 2020; 26:e927681

Authors information Article notes Copyright and License information

¹Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
²Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
³ Key Laboratory for Major Obstetric Diseases of Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⁴ Key Laboratory of Reproduction and Genetics of Guangdong Higher Education Institutes, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⁵Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Guangzhou Huadu District Maternal and Child Health Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⁶Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Qingyuan People’s Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
⁷Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Northwest Women’s and Children’s Hospital, Xian, Shaanxi, China
⁸Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
⁹Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henen, China
¹⁰Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
¹¹Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China
¹²Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
¹³Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
¹⁴Institute of Reproductive and Child Health, National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China

^*Corresponding Author: Lili Du, e-mail: moc.liamtoh@7018udilil
^*Corresponding Author: Dunjin Chen, e-mail: nc.ude.umhzg@nehcrdzg
^*Corresponding Author: Zhijian Wang, e-mail: moc.361@yyfnjzw

^AStudy design/planning
^BData collection/entry
^CData analysis/statistics
^DData interpretation
^EPreparation of manuscript
^FLiterature analysis/search
^GFunds collection

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Figure 4 The nomogram of the pre-labor model. The nomogram converts each risk predictor into a 0 to 100 scale that is proportional to the derived adjusted log odds. These points are added across predictors to derive the „total points”, which are converted to predict the probabilities of vaginal birth.

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Development and Validation of Predictive Models for Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery in China

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