BACKGROUND: Previous studies have identified an association between plasma levels of the inflammatory cytokine, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and outcomes for patients with sepsis. This retrospective single-center study assessed the association between plasma levels of MCP-1 and 28-day mortality in 136 patients ≥65 years diagnosed with sepsis between October 2020 and October 2021.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: The objective was to compare and analyze the parameters in the survival group (n=35) and the 28-day mortality group (n=101), including Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), plasma MCP-1, and laboratory test results. Plasma MCP-1 was quantified by cytokine test kit (LKTM014B, R&D). Statistical analysis was carried out in SPSS 26.0 and MedCalc 92.1.0 software.

RESULTS: The 28-day mortality group exhibited higher levels of SOFA, APACHEII, and plasma MCP-1 (all P<0.001), as well as lower levels of albumin, compared to the survival group (P<0.05). The logistic regression analysis findings indicated that SOFA, APACHEII, plasma MCP-1, and SBP are all independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. The area under the curve for SOFA, APACHEII, MCP-1, MCP-1+ SOFA, and MCP-1+APACHEII were 0.845, 0.744, 0.712, 0.879, and 0.822, respectively. MCP-1+SOFA exhibited higher sensitivity than SOFA alone. Furthermore, the assessment values of plasma MCP-1 combined with SOFA were superior to those of APACHE II or plasma MCP-1 (Z₁=2.661, Z₂=3.272, both P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS: The findings from this study from a single center support those of previous studies that increased plasma levels of MCP-1 are significantly associated with 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.

Keywords: APACHE, Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein 1 (66-77), Mortality, Organ Dysfunction Scores, Sepsis