23 June 2026 : Clinical Research
[In Press] Subgroup Differences in Agreement Between an Algorithm Guided Large Language Model and Routine Emergency Department Triage
Ali HalıcıDOI: 10.12659/MSM.953573
Med Sci Monit In Press; DOI: 10.12659/MSM.953573
Available online: 2026-06-23, In Press, Corrected Proof
Publication in the "In-Press" formula aims at speeding up the public availability of the pending manuscript while waiting for the final publication. The assigned DOI number is active and citable. The availability of the article in the Medline, PubMed and PMC databases as well as Web of Science will be obtained after the final publication according to the journal schedule
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly discussed as decision-support tools in emergency care, but their agreement with routine emergency department (ED) triage and subgroup behavior remain insufficiently characterized. We evaluated an algorithm-guided LLM against routine ED triage with emphasis on subgroup heterogeneity and safety-relevant discordance.
MATERIAL AND METHODS
This retrospective study included 1960 adult ED visits with complete triage data. A standardized prompt provided age, sex, chief complaint, comorbidities, systolic/diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, oxygen saturation, temperature, and Glasgow Coma Scale. The LLM assigned 1 triage category within a 5-level Emergency Severity Index–based system (green, yellow-1, yellow-2, red-1, red-2). Outputs were compared with routine ED triage. Performance for urgent vs non-urgent classification was assessed using AUC, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, F1, and accuracy. Five-level agreement was assessed using quadratic weighted Cohen’s kappa and accuracy. Discordance (lower- and higher-acuity LLM vs routine triage) was analyzed across prespecified subgroups.
RESULTS
LLM achieved 71.3% five-level accuracy and substantial agreement with routine triage (weighted κ=0.824). For urgent/non-urgent classification, AUC was 0.768, sensitivity 0.630, specificity 0.906. Lower- and higher-acuity discordance rates were 9.8% and 18.9%. Discordance varied across subgroups; lower-acuity assignments vs routine triage were more frequent in older adults, trauma, and diabetes, while infectious presentations showed the highest concordance.
CONCLUSIONS
The algorithm-guided LLM showed substantial concordance with routine ED triage but non-uniform subgroup discordance, particularly lower-acuity assignments in patients with older age, diabetes, and trauma. As routine triage served as an operational comparator rather than a gold standard, findings reflect agreement with local practice, not definitive accuracy or safety. Prospective outcome validation is required.
Keywords: Large Language Models; Emergency Medicine; Triage; Artificial Intelligence
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